Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.273223 11.845849 13.533633 15.474467 17.639200 19.973923 22.676811
2025-08-31 7.741823 9.773992 12.114826 14.990604 18.407125 22.314444 27.097742
2025-09-07 6.457404 8.736146 11.504344 15.074086 19.511111 24.798194 31.523461
2025-09-14 5.510979 7.917444 10.977310 15.087547 20.390801 26.924462 35.494399
2025-09-21 4.843577 7.342623 10.651092 15.255852 21.390245 29.163822 39.624474
2025-09-28 4.247095 6.774755 10.250317 15.249013 22.105246 31.016840 43.285619
2025-10-05 3.880735 6.478406 10.172004 15.638648 23.327606 33.540210 47.873804
2025-10-12 3.532554 6.162465 10.024097 15.896630 24.353311 35.813442 52.185890
2025-10-19 3.186813 5.807068 9.777984 15.977846 25.110113 37.724537 56.050590
2025-10-26 2.767872 5.285293 9.230734 15.563681 25.113945 38.568093 58.451963
2025-11-02 2.431796 4.859213 8.788481 15.263413 25.245959 39.569392 61.076078
2025-11-09 2.134508 4.463465 8.356102 14.938077 25.305599 40.446287 63.526977
2025-11-16 1.875120 4.107532 7.961896 14.649441 25.409542 41.398585 66.135665
2025-11-23 1.618030 3.723288 7.484100 14.186251 25.207793 41.877292 68.055876
2025-11-30 1.477396 3.544296 7.343552 14.266013 25.855685 43.638677 71.906428
2025-12-07 1.342165 3.358733 7.173384 14.278876 26.387108 45.229712 75.537595
2025-12-14 1.240773 3.230005 7.094387 14.439716 27.159742 47.208710 79.801674
2025-12-21 1.128482 3.063372 6.928919 14.433180 27.646613 48.748409 83.428104
2025-12-28 1.070743 3.009872 6.974587 14.805584 28.782326 51.341295 88.741905
2026-01-04 1.003682 2.926583 6.954012 15.052199 29.708054 53.620841 93.620577
2026-01-11 0.925115 2.805882 6.847698 15.129843 30.339134 55.437650 97.811890
2026-01-18 0.809958 2.579530 6.504424 14.733927 30.115245 55.844921 99.768370
2026-01-25 0.716830 2.393953 6.228642 14.446942 30.065220 56.526732 102.169192